Site icon Haznos

Further Decline Expected For Spanish Property Prices

<p style&equals;"text-align&colon; justify">A recent report commissioned by international credit ratings agency Fitch has suggested that Spanish property prices&comma; which are currently 30 per cent lower than their 2007 peak&comma; are set to continue falling up to 2015&comma; with a possibility of bottoming out in the latter part of that year&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p style&equals;"text-align&colon; justify">Whilst interest in Spanish property is comparatively high&comma; particularly amongst international investors &lpar;due in part to the recent &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;golden visa” scheme by the Spanish government&rpar;&comma;  more than a million properties remain unsold which could be a factor in preventing price inflation for at least another 12 months&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p style&equals;"text-align&colon; justify">The current downward spiral is also aided by the continued mass sale of repossessed and unsold property developments by Spanish banks&comma; primarily the so called &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;bad bank” Sareb&period; Throughout 2013&comma; the state of the economy meant that banks became more willing to offload certain properties at massive discounts in a belated attempt to clean up balance sheets and ensure they were in the black going in to 2014&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p style&equals;"text-align&colon; justify">Expectations are that as prices decline and incomes increase&comma; many properties will become more affordable&comma; this ratio will continue to improve until mid 2015&comma; when Fitch expect prices to bottom out&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p style&equals;"text-align&colon; justify">Currently though&comma; in the first quarter of 2014&comma; the mortgage market continues to be depressed and this is not expected to change until next year with mortgage lendings hitting a new low of 100&comma;000&period; This situation is related to the weakening of the mortgage market in November last year when it was reported that the number of mortgages granted had fallen 26&period;6 per cent year on year since 2007&period; This corresponds to nearly €1bn in lost revenue and a massive 84 per cent dip in the number of mortgages being granted&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p style&equals;"text-align&colon; justify">Whilst the buy-to-let and lending markets remain bleak&comma; a significant pickup in in property sales to affluent foreigners&comma; is helping to add a certain degree of buoyancy to the real estate market&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p style&equals;"text-align&colon; justify">Buyers needing to leverage their purchases are expected to be significantly more cautious as mortgage performances are negatively affected by a rise in interest rates&comma; something which is expected to happen later this year&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p style&equals;"text-align&colon; justify">It would not be surprising if the Spanish property market became more fragmented over the next 12 months due to a faster rate of price inflation in the more popular areas of Spain such as the Costa del Sol&period; There is a possibility that this could lead to localised bubbles&comma; similar to the situation we see in the UK&comma; with London said to be in a &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;super bubble”&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2 style&equals;"text-align&colon; justify"><strong>To Conclude<&sol;strong><&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p style&equals;"text-align&colon; justify">Despite the fact that low prices equals more foreign investors looking for real estate bargains&comma; over 10 percent of Spanish mortgage holders are in negative equity&comma; and for them this situation means extended misery&period; More than half a million are stuck with properties until the situation improves or they are forcibly evicted&comma; if the trend continues as expected&comma; these figures could rise to 710&comma;000 by the end of the year&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p style&equals;"text-align&colon; justify">Bradley shore is an experienced real estate blogger&comma; he has been writing articles on property and investment for a number of years and has a high expertise in these areas&comma; he has been doing his most recent work for Altavista properties but usually tends to stick to freelance&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

Exit mobile version