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Real Estate: Discovering The Gems In An Uneven Road To Recovery

<p>The latest round of national housing statistics in the U&period;S&period; paints a picture of the beginning of a real turn around and the majority of experts proclaim a recovery is here&period; So why is it that when some home buyers and investors look around at their local real estate markets they still see a glut of distressed properties and many homes which have been sitting on the market for a while&quest;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2>Making Sense of the Housing Recovery<&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p>There is still much confusion about the state of the U&period;S&period; real estate recovery&comma; and it&&num;8217&semi;s completely understandable why some potential buyers are having a hard time making sense of it&period; Much of the disparity comes from different indexes which use different metrics for tracking home values and sales prices&period; Plus&comma; of course national statistics even out the digits of those markets still in the pit of the crisis and those which have already been enjoying a rebound for some time&period;<br &sol;>&NewLine;<strong>National 3rd Quarter 2012 Statistics Show&colon; <&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<ul>&NewLine;<li>Home prices have risen 3&period;6&percnt; over the 3rd quarter 2011 per the Case-Shiller index&semi;<&sol;li>&NewLine;<li>The largest jump in year-over-year home prices in 6 years as of October per CoreLogic&semi;<&sol;li>&NewLine;<li>As of October existing home sales were 10&period;9&percnt; higher than 2011 according to NAR&semi;<&sol;li>&NewLine;<li>The National Association of Realtors reports distressed sales down to 24&percnt; of real estate transactions&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;<&sol;ul>&NewLine;<p>Still&comma; it&&num;8217&semi;s no secret that there is a huge amount of shadow inventory of foreclosure properties and delinquent loans working their way through the system&period; This is destined to keep some markets soft for some time&period; Some even project this could be over a decade in hard hit markets&comma; keeping home value depressed&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2>Searching for Buying Signals in a Fragmented Market<&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p>So which markets should real estate investors and home buyers be confident in buying in and which should be avoided like the plague&quest; Obviously while low home prices and low interest rates may make even the most horrific markets seem appealing in terms of cheap properties compared to a few years ago no one wants to buy a depreciating asset&period; Clearly there are parts of Detroit and Nevada and even New York which may take many decades to come back&comma; if they ever return from becoming urban wastelands&period;<br &sol;>&NewLine;So what should buyers be looking for and what indicates a market is on the mend&quest; There are markets which are posting lower foreclosure numbers&comma; double digit rises in home prices and low inventory levels&period; A few have even clearly been out of a crisis for 12 or even 18 months&period; Of course&comma; there is nothing wrong with looking for value in markets which are still turning around providing the prospects of a booming job market are good&comma; the local economy is strong and the demand is there&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2>Discovering Bright Spots for Buying Homes with Confidence<&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p>Even for the real pessimists there are some incredible gems&comma; cities which have&comma; and will continue to defy the local and national economy&comma; to outperform&period; Just as London&&num;8217&semi;s real estate market runs completely separated from the rest of the UK due to the international buyers it attracts and its status as a separate asset class&comma; we have several here in the U&period;S&period;&comma; too&period; San Francisco is certainly one of them&comma; even without Facebook&period; In San Diego it is a similar story&period;<br &sol;>&NewLine;On the East Coast we also have niche markets like South Beach in Miami and Key West&comma; which continue to buck &lpar;or lead&rpar; national trends attracting affluent buyers from all over the globe&period; Just look at the stats in Key West&comma; FL&period; In October there were just 15 foreclosure filings according to RealtyTrac&period; According to data from the local Realtor&&num;8217&semi;s association home prices there have climbed 35&percnt; in 3 years&comma; and sales of 2 to 4 unit properties are up 100&percnt; since last year and up over 62&percnt; in value&period;<br &sol;>&NewLine;Real estate investors and savvy home buyers are watching their target markets closely&comma; tracking local trends &&num;8211&semi; including sales and inventory statistics &&num;8211&semi; and comparing them with both local trends over the past few years and current industry factors&period; In a climate of uneven recovery&comma; investors are going over statistics with a fine toothed comb&period; But in every market&comma; low interest rates and values that remain well below market values in 2008 make real estate an attractive investment opportunity&period;<br &sol;>&NewLine;M&period;-J&period; Taylor writes on real estate for clients such as Key West Realtor Rudy Molinet&comma; the top performing broker in the Southernmost City&period; You can find more of M&period;-J&period;&&num;8217&semi;s articles through Google&plus;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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